Post by GuyF on Dec 19, 2011 7:29:25 GMT -5
May as well enjoy the RPI while we still have it. Iona's RPI is 13--that's THIRTEEN--right now.
Alas, the next 3 games should take care of that. William & Mary is at 340, Hofstra is at 287, and mighty Siena is at 299.
That said, the RPI predictor at RealTime still projects us as finishing with an RPI of 38--and that's assuming league losses at Fairfield and at Loyola, and does NOT include the BracketBuster. So, though the schedule stinks, Iona MUST keep winning, and absolutely can't lose at home to anyone, including whoever they host in the BB game.
Now, for fun, let's jump ahead. Let's say Iona goes 18-0 in the MAAC, wins the BB, then wins the tournament. Iona would have a 31-2 record, with an RPI (guessing here) of 35. Let's also guess a national ranking here, let's say 16 for sake of argument. Where do we get seeded?
Judging by recent history, let's use the 09 Saints, who were 26-7 after winning the MAAC Tourney. Siena FINISHED with an RPI of 19, but it wasn't that good prior to the NCAAs, as it was bolstered by beating Ohio State and then losing to Louisville. Their FINAL SOS RPI was 59--to their credit their OOC was loaded, though they didn't do very well against it. Iona won't approach that SOS RPI, though--it's better than that right now, but the MAAC is not as strong. Anyway, all together, they found themselves as the 9 seed.
OK, if I had to guess, the NCAA committee wouldn't take a team that won 31 games, went 21-0 in its league, and has made national headlines all season and screw them. I think at WORST in this scenario we'd be looking at a 7 seed, and the high end, a 5. That's insane!
Now, let's flip it, and assume 16-2 MAAC, loss in BB, win MAAC Tourney. Hard to gauge RPI, but it's probably where we were last year, in the 60s. Seed? Probably a 13 here, maybe a 12.
How's this for a formula--assuming we win MAAC Tourney and BB game, each MAAC regular-season loss will cost us 3 seed spots. Start us at 6 for 18-0, 9 for 17-1, 12 for 16-2.
OK, I'm done now. Get ready for a long reply from Joebird!
Alas, the next 3 games should take care of that. William & Mary is at 340, Hofstra is at 287, and mighty Siena is at 299.
That said, the RPI predictor at RealTime still projects us as finishing with an RPI of 38--and that's assuming league losses at Fairfield and at Loyola, and does NOT include the BracketBuster. So, though the schedule stinks, Iona MUST keep winning, and absolutely can't lose at home to anyone, including whoever they host in the BB game.
Now, for fun, let's jump ahead. Let's say Iona goes 18-0 in the MAAC, wins the BB, then wins the tournament. Iona would have a 31-2 record, with an RPI (guessing here) of 35. Let's also guess a national ranking here, let's say 16 for sake of argument. Where do we get seeded?
Judging by recent history, let's use the 09 Saints, who were 26-7 after winning the MAAC Tourney. Siena FINISHED with an RPI of 19, but it wasn't that good prior to the NCAAs, as it was bolstered by beating Ohio State and then losing to Louisville. Their FINAL SOS RPI was 59--to their credit their OOC was loaded, though they didn't do very well against it. Iona won't approach that SOS RPI, though--it's better than that right now, but the MAAC is not as strong. Anyway, all together, they found themselves as the 9 seed.
OK, if I had to guess, the NCAA committee wouldn't take a team that won 31 games, went 21-0 in its league, and has made national headlines all season and screw them. I think at WORST in this scenario we'd be looking at a 7 seed, and the high end, a 5. That's insane!
Now, let's flip it, and assume 16-2 MAAC, loss in BB, win MAAC Tourney. Hard to gauge RPI, but it's probably where we were last year, in the 60s. Seed? Probably a 13 here, maybe a 12.
How's this for a formula--assuming we win MAAC Tourney and BB game, each MAAC regular-season loss will cost us 3 seed spots. Start us at 6 for 18-0, 9 for 17-1, 12 for 16-2.
OK, I'm done now. Get ready for a long reply from Joebird!
